Відео

In the 38 games of the tournament so far, no player has yet scored 2 goals in any one game. I think you should stick. I am sticking.

I’m holding

@@FPLFran tq

@@josephrobinson7767 tq for reply

In the 38 games of the tournament so far, no one player has scored twice in any one of them games. If I was you I would stick. I am sticking.

I’m keeping

@@FPLFran yeah, for once I have to kill my greed and stick. 😅

You can always make up the points hopefully with other situations. As for the 1cm offside, that’s the beauty of football aha

did you go Musiala? I'd prob go Williams or Morata

@@FPLFran I took gundo🤦

@@deadmastergvbb9137 that's okay!

@@FPLFranwhy not carvajal ???

@@fatimazahrabelfakir7365bc he’s getting subbed of early and he’s likely not to be involved with a goal

Probably Ruiz

Yeah, I appreciate that Shark! I don't mind if you watch o, 0.75x, which I know a lot of other people too. Sometimes I feel like I don't want to keep people around for 1 hour so I recognise I go a bit too fast. I'll try my best to refine my delivery!

In theory you'd have 7 transfers to address Spain getting knocked out though, no? Maybe 4 is close to overkill, but there is also an opportunity cost to missing potentially the most one-sided fixture left in the tournament too on the flipside. Appreciate your thoughts as usual! Thank you <3

Bellingham most likely

😂

I'm going vvd :D

Could be! But I'm more confident with just mbappe

I prefer Morata, maybe I am biased but I think the Spanish game is much better

Yeah they are both great choices

Yeah

I prefer kane

I always tend to think his minutes are bad so I don’t love him as a pick. Much love

Watch the video and decide

I think he is a great pick but leaning slightly more towards VVD

Not bad to pick Gundo instead!

He really should.

I’ll go simons uno

F.Ruiz nailed on to start

I would probably have gone Simons but definitely a close call. Didn’t like the Austrian mids either?

Thank you Eddie!

I think they’re all quite similar frankly

Sorry mate. Likely would have gone Kane and Gundo to be honest. Hope all is well

Why’s that then mate?

@@ShuaDDJ we have been extremely poor in attack and to win the tournament he needs to make a change to that front 4. Palmer was exactly what we needed when he came on the other day hence my thinking. Could be wrong but even if saka starts i think he only gets 60 mins

I don’t see the benching happening

I probably would have gone Kane but I like the draft!

And Nico over Pedri is fine

Now you’re being silly

I think people expect way too much rotation from a manager who infrequently does it.

Fantastic pick but prefer backing England

@@FPLFran doubled up on that too, two England, and three Spain and one Portugal

Very strong team, I’m not in love with Fabian but I hope he plays well for us

@@FPLFran i ended up swapping cucurella for rudiger and kane for morata, id say that gamble payed off

@@p62f24 mental, well done!

I do tend to think that's fine - but ofc Morata has a lot moreee goal share.

q4oMJt

he should be if depay gets subbed, but I don't expect him to take over Memphis

was weird for sure - but idk how calculations work aha

It's close but I'm not going to side with the other country aha. I'm not underestimating them, just backing the odds with a touch of bias.

Still Pedri fo rme.

@@FPLFran Thanks.

100% we will be there.

that's what we said no - Veerman unlikely. See what you mean about him playin deeper but I genuinely don't think that's the role he'll play

I might do these exact two moves - but I'll keep Musi.

hhahaha

Without knowing these inputs, this works the other way too though no? Because there must be an implication that if Georgia go through, Germany would more easily get into the QF in most instances than Spain would vs Denmark because of how much stronger Denmark is vs Georgia.

@@FPLFran I tried calculating it based on these odds. If we assume the odds of Germany - Denmark and Spain - Georgia remain the same if we swap Germany and Spain. Then we can calculate the chance of Germany winning over Spain to 53 % by Opta and Spain to win at 48,5 %: the reason it isn't 100 is because of course Germany and Spain are not exactly the same. I use the common formula from probabiliy where the chance of going to SF must be equal to the chance of going to QF * the probability of winning QF + 0(not going to QF) * times the probability of not going to QF. While you are right about it incorporates the chance of facing Georgia or Denmark, you also have to remember Spain face Denmark 30 % of the time and Germany face georgie only 17,6 % of the time so the impact of facing Georgia is small.

Kane will find form. Go for him

close, I'd prob back the latter but I'm not sure if I love either pairing

just a case of me finding other options to be better. Nothing really wrong with Depay/Gakpo, Ake, VVD, Verbruggen or Simons though.

De Vrij

Extra time and penalties Players will keep scoring points throughout extra time. However, players who play 120 minutes don't get double points for appearance or clean sheet (2 x 60 minutes). If a match goes to penalties, no points will be scored during the shoot-out.

you do lose CS. no additional extra points for appearances. No pen shootout counting.

Thank you . Interesting. Wondering if I should pick LB RB options that are likely to be subbed off keeping their clean sheet intact. Or CBs who are likely to stay on into extra time making it harder to keep a clean sheet but getting ball recoveries. Thanks anyway

Good spot, definitely missed a gem there

what do you mean by ranks sorry? Opta doesn't look at fifa rank as any indication of anything. Every single teams wants to win everything, not sure what this even means as a point.

@@FPLFran it means stats did not work well when Morocco and Croatia made their runs deep into tournaments. Focussing on just 4 teams might not be the best approach.

@@smokosish we're not trying to focus on 4 teams but I think the main point is to say it's hard to pinpoint the direction of certain upsets. I get what you mean though - all these stats ultimately have each team with less than 20% chance to win, which tells you all you need to know. I tend to like betting where the odds are anyways and it usually works out well, provided I add some spice.

Rodri, Fabian, defenders probably.

Sabitzer.

@@FPLFrandoes a midfield of Nico, Pedri, Musiala, Gundo, & Sabitzer need to sacrifice someone to include Bruno? I feel like Bruno plays too deep for Portugal to produce direct goals/assists *no chips

@@Silver-Surfer97I personally think that Germany are a little overrated due to the Scotland game, they’ve looked shaky and didn’t create many chances against Switzerland, with the Danish defense being solid, I personally only went with Musiala. Think Gundo is also being overrated due to his big game against Hungary